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ICICI Bank earnings boost analyst confidence

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ICICI Bank introduces ‘SmartLock’, a unique safety feature on iMobile Pay
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Athira Sethu

Kochi, 20 April 2026

Most analysts tracking ICICI Bank remain strongly optimistic following its better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, which drove the stock modestly higher. The bank delivered robust year-on-year growth of 8.5% in both core income and net profit, alongside improving asset quality and sharply lower provisions, reinforcing confidence in its operational strength. Notably, 48 out of 50 analysts maintain a “buy” rating, with none recommending a “sell,” reflecting widespread bullish sentiment supported by steady growth momentum, resilient financial metrics, and confidence in the bank’s ability to navigate macro and geopolitical uncertainties.

Analyst Ratings Summary

Rating TypeNumber of Analysts
Buy48
Hold2
Sell0

Brokerage Targets & Upside Potential

BrokerageTarget Price (₹)Upside (%)
Citi1,72027
CLSA1,70026
Nomura1,62020
Jefferies1,67021
Kotak Institutional Equities1,80033
Investec1,62520
Morgan Stanley1,70526
Bernstein1,55015
JPMorgan1,60019
UBS1,72027

Key Financial Performance (Q4)

MetricPerformance
Core Income Growth+8.5% YoY
Net Profit Growth+8.5% YoY
Return on Assets (RoA)2.4% (above estimates)
Gross NPA1.4% (vs 1.53% QoQ)
Net NPA0.33% (vs 0.37% QoQ)
Credit CostsNear-zero
ProvisionsDeclined sharply

Growth & Profitability Drivers

FactorDetails
Loan Growth OutlookRevised to 15–16% (Citi)
Margin StabilityExpected to remain within range
Retail & Rural MomentumBroad-based growth across segments
Core Income (NII) Forecast12.3% (FY27), 15.1% (FY28) – JPMorgan

Asset Quality & Risk Metrics

IndicatorTrend
Gross NPAImproved
Net NPAImproved
RecoveriesStrong from written-off accounts
Credit Cost OutlookSupported by provision reversals

External & Strategic Factors

FactorImpact
West Asia ConflictMinimal impact on loan portfolio
Supply Chain DisruptionsNo major concerns reported
Business Banking StabilityRemains strong

Valuation & Analyst Views

AspectInsight
Valuation Multiple2.2x FY27 Price-to-Book (Jefferies)
Premium JustificationStrong RoA and RoE outlook
Sector LeadershipExpected to sustain through FY27–28
Risk FactorHigh expectations may limit upside (Kotak)
StrengthBalance sheet resilience

Stock Performance Snapshot

MetricValue
Current Price₹1,361.3
Intraday Movement+1.1%
1-Month Gain+8.5%

(This information is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before investing in stocks)

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