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Factors that may drive market this week

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Indian IT stocks fall due to US H-1B visa fee hike
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Debasis Mohapatra

Bengaluru, 22 Feb 2026

Indian equity market is going to be influenced by several factors this week (23 Feb- 27 Feb) with the news flow emanating from the US playing a major role.

Here are important factors that investors should be aware of before the market opens.

  1. Trump increases tariff from 10% to 15%: After the US Supreme Court ruled against the President Donald Trump’s tariffs, the Trump administration imposed 10% tariff on all of US’ trading partners. It has subsequently increased to 15% through executive ruling by the President. Now, it has to be seen how Indian exports will be taxed given that India-US are likely to sign a trade deal soon in which the US has imposed 18% tariff on Indian goods. Though clarification has been issued by the US administration, still clarity is yet to emerge.

2. Crude oil price amid the US-Iran rhetoric: Rhetorics & negotiations between the US and Iran continue as the US gathers one of its largest naval and air assets near Iran. Brent crude oil level has already jumped owing to possible disruption in oil shipments in case of conflict between US and Iran. Crude oil prices this week will determine the direction of the market to a large extent.

3. India Q3FY26 GDP Data: India’s Q3FY26 GDO data will be out on Feb 27, 2026. This is likely to influence the overall direction of the market.

4. Performance of Nifty IT Index: Nifty IT Index has been a drag on benchmark indices as IT stocks continued to see selloff pressure. If Nifty IT index sees some investors’ buying coming in this week, it will support an uptrend.

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