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Gold vs Dollar reserves: Central banks shift strategy amid global uncertainty

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Gold vs Dollar reserves: Central banks shift strategy amid global uncertainty

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Gold vs Dollar reserves: Central banks shift strategy amid global uncertainty

Srotaswini Mohapatra

Pune, 6 July 2025

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As global economic uncertainty intensifies, central banks worldwide are rethinking their foreign reserve strategies, with a growing shift from U.S. dollar holdings to gold. This evolving trend reflects rising concerns over U.S. fiscal stability, inflation, and geopolitical risks.

The U.S. dollar has long dominated global foreign exchange reserves, accounting for more than 50% of international transactions. However, a recent UBS survey reveals that nearly one-third of central bank reserve managers plan to reduce dollar holdings due to concerns about the U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence and the nation’s rising debt burden.

In contrast, gold is gaining favor as a more stable and politically neutral asset. The World Gold Council reports that 76% of central banks intend to increase their gold reserves over the next five years. For the third consecutive year, annual central bank gold purchases have exceeded 1,000 metric tons—a record pace that now places gold ahead of the euro in terms of total reserves held.

“Gold offers crisis protection, diversification, and long-term value—all without the political strings attached to fiat currencies,” noted a recent policy brief from the European Central Bank.

Despite the dollar’s liquidity and its crucial role in global trade, the increasing reliance on gold highlights a strategic rebalancing. Most central banks are now opting for a dual-reserve approach—retaining U.S. dollar assets for immediate liquidity while bolstering gold holdings for long-term security.

Experts believe this trend will continue as countries look to safeguard their economies against financial shocks, sanctions, and monetary policy shifts. As one analyst puts it, “The global economy is entering a phase where resilience is just as important as access. Gold is no longer just a hedge—it’s a strategic necessity.”

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