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Gold breaks historic peak amid rising recession fears and rate-cut hopes

in Commodity
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Gold breaks historic peak amid rising recession fears and rate-cut hopes
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DBT Bureau

Pune, 22 Dec 2025

Geojit Investments, in its latest commodities report, said global markets were driven by record highs in precious metals, shifting U.S. monetary policy expectations, and supply-side developments across energy and base metals.

  • Gold spot marked a fresh record high today, hitting USD 4420 per troy ounce, driven by mounting expectations of additional U.S. rate cuts and robust safe-haven demand. Silver spot also joined the rally, hitting an all -time high of $69.44 per ounce.
  • U.S. non-farm payrolls added 64,000 jobs in November, reversing October’s decline of 105,000. Job gains were led by health care and construction, while federal government payrolls continued to shrink. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate jumped to 4.6% in November.
  • U.S. Fed lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.50%–3.75% in this month’s policy meeting, while signaling a likely pause in further cuts as officials await clearer indications on labor market trends and inflation, which remains somewhat elevated.
  • Copper production from Chilean state-run miner Codelco fell 14.3% in October, falling to 111,000 metric tonnes. Meanwhile production at BHP’s Escondida mine, the world’s largest copper mine, climbed 11.7% from the same month a year earlier to 120,600 tonnes. At Collahuasi, another major copper mine jointly run by Glencore and Anglo American, output fell 29.3% to 35,000 tonnes.
  • Crude oil prices climbed following reports that the U.S. intercepted an oil tanker in international waters near Venezuela, fueling renewed concerns over supply disruptions.
  • OPEC+ decided to keep oil output unchanged for the first quarter of 2026, signaling a slowdown in its efforts to reclaim market share amid concerns over a potential supply glut.
  • NYMEX natural gas futures rebounded after last week’s decline, which was driven by a slower-than-expected storage drawdown. Near-record gas flows to LNG export facilities provided strong support, helping the prices recover from monthly lows.
  • China’s manufacturing PMI signaled contraction in November, reflecting sluggish demand and indicating that progress in U.S. trade talks has yet to translate into a meaningful demand recovery.

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